2025 Archive

January 2nd, 2025 – Weekly Strategy Session – Markets are looking a little weaker than early December with SPY and DIA below the 50-day moving average. QQQ is just holding above the 50. Breadth is terrible but also getting to a level where we could see a bounce.

VIX Term Structure is not showing much fear which is good.

New Case Studies today were – CVX, META, MRVL, NVDA Bull Put Spreads, COST Unbalanced Condor, GDX Wheel, LULU Bear Call Spread and SPY Bear Put Spread (optional hedge).

January 8th, 2025 – Weekly Strategy Session – Markets are a bit mixed at the moment and we’re seeing lower highs on the SPX. QQQ is holding above the 50-day MA and VIX Term Structure is still in contango which is a positive.

New Case Studies today were – ANET, CRM, DASH and SPOT Bull Put Spreads, NFLX and TSM Pre-Earnings Diagonals, QQQ Condor and SPY Bear Put Spread (optional hedge)

January 15th, 2025 – Weekly Strategy Session – Really nice recovery in the markets the last few days. While we’re not 100% out of the woods, there are a lot of positive signs. As such, we’ve got a lot of bullish trades this week.

New Case Studies were – AAPL, ALAB, AXP, MSTR and TSLA Bull Put Spreads, GDX and SOFI Wheel Trades, META Bullish Butterfly (paper trade) and LLY Bear Call Spread.

January 22nd, 2025 – Weekly Strategy Session – It’s been a very bullish week for the market and SPX is now testing the all-time highs. Breadth has improved but is still a little weak, so probably not a bad idea to still have some small hedge trades.

New Case Studies this week were – IBIT and NVDA Wheels, ANET, MSFT and QQQ Bull Put Spreads, IBIT Long-Term Risk-Free Collar, PLTR and TSLA Pre-Earnings Diagonals and a QQQ Bear Put Spread (Optional Hedge).

January 29th, 2025 – Weekly Strategy Session – It’s been a strange week so far with the AI news and subsequent rebound. Overall things are looking ok, but we need to be vigilant.

New Case Studies this week were – APP, DASH and SPOT Bull Put Spreads, HOOD and SHOP Wheel trades, IWM Trapdoor, QQQ Bear Call Spread with Delta Hedge, SMH Condor and TSM Short Strangle.

February 5th, 2025 – Weekly Strategy Session – The S&P 500 is back above the 50-day moving average and looking reasonably good, but we still need to exercise some caution here.

There were no adjustments to discuss today which is probably a first! Lots of profit taking though, which is great.

New Case Studies today were – AAPL and META Bull Put Spreads, COIN, HOOD and PANW Pre-Earnings Double Diagonals, GDX, IBIT and USO Wheels, TSLA Bear Call Spread and QQQ Bear Put Spread (optional hedge).

February 12th, 2025 – Weekly Strategy Session – Price action looks pretty good here on SPX and QQQ and that’s always the primary indicator. Accumulation and VIX Term Structure look good, but breadth is weak.

The market did seem to brush off the high inflation numbers without too much bother as well.

New Case Studies today were – ABNB, AXP, DDOG and SHOP Bull Put Spreads, CAT Bear Call Spread, AMLP and MRK Wheels, NEM and SHOP Poor Man’s Covered Calls and a couple of optional high risk earnings Wheels on NVDA and HIMS.

February 19th, 2025 – Weekly Strategy Session – Price action continues to look ok, but we did see some heavy selling today in popular growth stocks (PLTR, AXON, IOT etc.). Breadth has improved which is good.

New Case Studies today were – AMD Gamma Scalp, BHP Wheel, CRWD Pre-Earnings Double Diagonal, HD, MSFT and UAL Bull Put Spreads, PLTR Bear Call Spread, QQQ Bear Call Spread with Delta Hedge and a VIX Butterfly.

February 26th, 2025 – Weekly Strategy Session – It’s been a rough week for growth stocks, but defensive stocks are holding up well, so it seems like rotation rather than broad based selling which is good.

Our breadth indicators are looking ok and we’re still in Contango, so there is no panic (yet).

New Case Studies this week were – AMZN, HOOD, IYR and META Bull Put Spreads, ANET Condor, IWM and TSLA Trapdoors and a QQQ Bear Call Spread (optional hedge).

March 5th, 2025 – Weekly Strategy Session – Markets are delicately poised right now and could really go either way. As such, we looked at mostly neutral, short Vega trades today.

New Case Studies were – ADBE Pre-Earnings Diagonal, GOOGL and QQQ Condors, GS, NFLX and V Unbalanced Condors, XOM Gamma Scalp and IWM Bear Put Spread (optional hedge).

March 12th, 2025 – Weekly Strategy Session – The market is in full Backwardation mode at the moment so we only have the one new Case Study today as it’s more about focussing on capital preservation and managing existing trades.

The new Case Study was an MU Pre-Earnings Diagonal in addition to a couple of hedge trades added earlier in the week.

With only 1 trade to discuss we took the time to do a refresher on the Iron Trapdoor strategy.

March 19th, 2025 – Weekly Strategy Session – There has been some positive signs in the market the last few days, but still a bit too early to call an end to the correction.

I would like to see major indexes spend a few more days above their 8-day moving averages and also see some continued improvement in breadth. VIX Term Structure spending a few days in Contango would be a good sign as well. You should be checking this every day at the moment.

New Case Studies today were – AAPL Condor, AMZN Unbalanced Condor, EWU and KO Wheels, FCX Short Strangle and NVDA Long-Term Bull Put Spread.

March 26th, 2025 – Weekly Strategy Session – There are definitely some concerns for the market with today’s action. It feels like the counter trend rally is over and we’re back into bearish mode. Maybe.

What’s more likely? That we rally back to all-time highs soon, or we continue lower. I think the latter.

Only a few trades today as we’re still waiting for the market to give us more clues.

New Case Studies today were – AVGO Bear Call Spread, BMY Wheel, QQQ Directional Butterfly and SMH Bear Put Spread.

April 2nd, 2025 – Weekly Strategy Session – Stocks are all over the place in the after hours market since Trump’s tariff announcement, so no new Case Studies this week as we have no idea where the market will open.

Instead we took the chance to learn about the Stock Repair Strategy and also work through how to roll trades in IBKR.

I hope it was helpful and if there are any other topics you want to cover next week, please let me know.

It’s frustrating to not be trading as much, but capital preservation is more important right now.

Defensive / low beta names are holding up pretty well such as XLU, XLP, IYR, TLT, KO, BMY etc.

April 9th, 2025 – Weekly Strategy Session – What a week it has been since we last spoke!

I’m still keeping the trades pretty light for now as we wait for the market to calm down. Capital preservation is still priority #1 right now.

For any new trades, longer-term is probably better as they will be a bit slower moving and more forgiving if you get it wrong.

Paper trade if in doubt or if using live capital, keep position size small.

New Case Studies were – HOOD Bull Put Spread, JPM Pre-Earnings Diagonal, NVDA Put Ratio Spread and SPY Bear Call Spread.